Justin Fields Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Chicago Bears · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to accrue 8.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most of all QBs.
The Chicago Bears O-line profiles as the 9th-best in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties project as the 32nd-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The Bears are an enormous 12.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-slowest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 29.10 seconds per play.

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