Justin Fields Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Justin Fields

NFL · Player Props

Justin Fields

QB · Chicago Bears

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 51.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to accumulate 9.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all QBs.
Justin Fields isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 29.2% of his offense's carries this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among QBs.
The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 9th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Chicago Bears have run the least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.6 plays per game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive tackles profile as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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