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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

In racking up a whopping 9.0 rush attempts per game this year, Justin Fields ranks among the top QBs in football (97th percentile) in regards to running utilization.

Accounting for 27.6% of his team's carries this year (93rd percentile among QBs), Justin Fields's mobility makes him a significant threat with his legs.

The Bears O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are expected by our trusted projection set to run just 62.5 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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