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Justin Fields

Justin Fields Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Justin Fields Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bears to run on 45.9% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects Justin Fields to accrue 7.8 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
  • The Bears offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL last year in run support.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a massive 7.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Bears are anticipated by the projections to call only 60.8 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After making up 30.9% of his team's rush attempts last year, Justin Fields has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this year, currently sitting at just 24.7%.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Detroit's DE corps has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the league.

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