Justice Hill Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-168/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 47.2% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
Justice Hill's ground effectiveness (4.63 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (78th percentile among RBs).
Since the start of last season, the imposing Dallas Cowboys run defense has yielded a feeble 5.15 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's running game: the 29th-best rate in football.
When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Dallas's collection of LBs has been atrocious since the start of last season, grading out as the 8th-worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).