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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

With an impressive total of 4.96 adjusted yards per carry (88th percentile), Justice Hill stands as one of the best pure runners in the NFL since the start of last season.

Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most adjusted yards in the league (122 per game) versus the Raiders defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.

The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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