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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justice Hill Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 51.3% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.

The opposing side have run for the 9th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (137 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

Justice Hill's 12.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season represents an impressive drop-off in his running ability over last season's 26.0 rate.

Justice Hill's running effectiveness has worsened this season, notching just 3.47 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 4.94 figure last season.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.

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