Justice Hill Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Justice Hill

NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 3, 2026 5:27 PM EST

Analysis

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect Justice Hill to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing offense in this game (9.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (4.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a huge favorite by 11.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 47.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 125.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number among all games this week.
The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 52.3 plays per game.
Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.

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