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Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

In this week's contest, Justice Hill is expected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.0 targets.

Justice Hill rates in the 93rd percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) with an impressive 21.0 mark this year.

With a fantastic 2.4 adjusted receptions per game (78th percentile) this year, Justice Hill rates as one of the top RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

The Houston Texans safeties profile as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the model to run just 63.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 9th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Ravens have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 47.0 plays per game.

Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 92.7% to 81.0%.

The Texans pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (78.9%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (78.9%).

More Justice Hill Player Props

Justice Hill ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 5