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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Justice Hill has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Justice Hill's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, compiling 2.8 adjusted receptions vs a measly 1.8 last season.

Justice Hill's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a material improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 77.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Denver's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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