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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 8th-most plays in the league have been called by the Ravens this year (a monstrous 60.0 per game on average).

This week, Justice Hill is projected by the projections to rank in the 78th percentile among running backs with 3.3 targets.

Justice Hill's 12.6% Target% this year marks a significant boost in his pass game usage over last year's 6.9% figure.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Baltimore Ravens ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

Justice Hill's 3.4 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a noteable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 1.8 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 8-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Ravens to be the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Washington Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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