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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's contest, Justice Hill is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.

The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Justice Hill's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 77.4% to 100.0%.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers project as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

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