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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Justice Hill Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) this year.

Justice Hill's 16.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 10.4.

Justice Hill's 2.8 adjusted catches per game this year represents a meaningful progression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 1.8 rate.

Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 77.4% to 100.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

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