Justice Hill Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-102/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Tyler Huntley.
With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Justice Hill's 53.0% Route% this season conveys a noteworthy progression in his passing game usage over last season's 41.0% rate.
Justice Hill's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 77.3% to 82.8%.

Favors Under

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have only 123.7 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.
Justice Hill's 9.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 17.0 rate.
Justice Hill's 4.5 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last season's 6.2 mark.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.