Justice Hill Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+109/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.5 per game) since the start of last season.
In this week's contest, Justice Hill is forecasted by the predictive model to place in the 86th percentile among running backs with 3.2 targets.
Justice Hill slots into the 87th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a whopping 14.8 mark since the start of last season.
Justice Hill grades out as one of the best pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 16.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.
Justice Hill checks in as one of the best RBs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a fantastic 1.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 52.8% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-worst pace among all games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (only 52.2 per game on average).
Justice Hill has totaled a measly -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 16th percentile among RBs.