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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

Justice Hill has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 10.3% this year, which puts him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Justice Hill has notched a lot more adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

Justice Hill's 100.0% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a material improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 77.4% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

When it comes to air yards, Justice Hill ranks in just the 24th percentile among running backs this year, with just -2.0 per game.

This year, the strong Denver Broncos defense has given up the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing RBs: a puny 5.4 yards.

This year, the imposing Broncos pass defense has allowed the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing running backs: a paltry 6.0 YAC.

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