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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (42.7 per game) this year.

The projections expect Justice Hill to accrue 3.1 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Justice Hill's 16.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 10.4.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Justice Hill has totaled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 4-point favorite in this game, indicating a running game script.

The model projects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 51.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 30.22 seconds per snap.

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