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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Justice Hill is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 77th percentile among RBs with 3.1 targets.
  • The Baltimore O-line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Justice Hill's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 77.4% to 100.0%.
  • Justice Hill's 7.8 adjusted yards per target this year reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 5.6 rate.
  • Justice Hill's 10.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a remarkable growth in his efficiency in space over last season's 8.5% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.5% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.

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