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Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) this year.Justice Hill's 16.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 10.4.Justice Hill's 31.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects an impressive improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 13.0 mark.Justice Hill's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 77.4% to 100.0%.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.This year, the stout Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up a paltry 25.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing RBs: the 3rd-best in football.This year, the tough Bengals pass defense has yielded the 4th-least yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing running backs: a paltry 5.6 YAC.
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