My Account Log Out

reorder

Justice Hill

Justice Hill Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

Justice Hill Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to run the 10th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

With a sizeable 9.3% Target% (76th percentile) last year, Justice Hill rates among the RB receiving threats with the highest volume in the NFL.

Justice Hill has accumulated a monstrous 1.0 air yards per game last year: 81st percentile when it comes to running backs. (This may not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).

The Baltimore offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football last year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 55.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense last year: 4th-fewest in football.

The Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 25.0) vs. running backs last year.

More Justice Hill Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™