Justice Hill Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 5, 2026 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

Justice Hill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+138/-230).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +141 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in the league (44.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Ravens.

Favors Under

At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are big underdogs in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have only 124.2 plays on offense called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 55.5 per game on average).
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may drop.
The Jaguars defensive ends project as the 4th-best unit in football this year in regard to run defense.

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