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Justice Hill

Justice Hill Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Justice Hill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.

The Raiders defensive tackles rank as the best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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