Justice Hill Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Justice Hill

NFL · Player Props

Justice Hill

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Justice Hill Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 49.8% of their chances: the 2nd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
Justice Hill has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (21.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (11.1%).

Favors Under

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
At the moment, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Seattle's LB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 6th-best in football.

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