JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · New England Patriots

Receptions

New York Jets vs New England Patriots · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots have been the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 66.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Juju Smith-Schuster has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Juju Smith-Schuster's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 80.5% to 71.3%.
The New York Jets pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.1%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (63.1%).
The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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