JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 22

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 22, 2022

Updated Feb 12, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+215/-286).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.5% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accrue 6.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
JuJu Smith-Schuster's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, compiling 4.9 yards per game compared to a measly 3.3 last season.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: least in the league.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has been used less as a potential target this season (81.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (93.0%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.8%) to wideouts this year (61.8%).
The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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