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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+215/-286).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +143 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 70.5% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 138.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accrue 6.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among WRs.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's receiving skills have gotten a boost this season, compiling 4.9 yards per game compared to a measly 3.3 last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: least in the league.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has been used less as a potential target this season (81.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (93.0%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.8%) to wideouts this year (61.8%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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