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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 66.7% pass rate.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Juju Smith-Schuster to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game in this contest (11.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (3.6% in games he has played).

In regards to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Chiefs, who are a heavy favorite by 8 points.

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Chiefs this year (a mere 54.0 per game on average).

After accruing 31.0 air yards per game last year, Juju Smith-Schuster has seen a big downtick this year, currently sitting at 6.0 per game.

Juju Smith-Schuster profiles as one of the least efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging a lowly 5.85 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 4th percentile among WRs

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

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