JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs New England Patriots · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New England Patriots.
This year, the poor New York Giants defense has yielded a colossal 183.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-worst in football.
The New York Giants pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.30 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the NFL.
When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 4.5 points.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New England Patriots to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Juju Smith-Schuster's 12.2% Target Share this year marks a substantial decline in his pass game utilization over last year's 18.3% figure.
Juju Smith-Schuster has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (23.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
The Patriots O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

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