My Account Log Out

reorder

Joshua Kelley

Joshua Kelley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

Joshua Kelley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.

This year, the anemic Raiders run defense has been torched for a whopping 129.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 8th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

While Joshua Kelley has garnered 31.9% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's run game in this week's contest at 9.7%.

More Joshua Kelley Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™