Joshua Dobbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects Joshua Dobbs to notch 5.6 rush attempts this week, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.
After making up 13.8% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Joshua Dobbs has been more involved in the running game this season, currently sitting at 20.0%.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Denver's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Vikings to run on 39.3% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

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