Josh Reynolds Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Josh Reynolds's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.1% to 75.9%.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 5th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-worst paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 28.94 seconds per play.
The Detroit Lions offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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