Josh Reynolds Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-169/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
Josh Reynolds's receiving skills have gotten better this year, compiling 3.4 yards per game compared to a measly 1.8 last year.
Josh Reynolds's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 54.9% to 68.8%.
The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in the league (69.7%) vs. wideouts this year (69.7%).
The Green Bay Packers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game versus the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
Josh Reynolds has been much more involved in his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 67.3% of snaps vs just 50.2% last year.
The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers cornerbacks project as the 2nd-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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