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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • The Chargers pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency vs. wide receivers since the start of last season, allowing 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the deficient Chargers defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a monstrous 5.44 YAC.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Broncos are expected by the projection model to call only 62.7 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chargers defense this year: 8th-fewest in the league.
  • Josh Reynolds's 9.8 adjusted yards per target this season represents a meaningful decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 10.9 rate.
  • The Los Angeles cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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