Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Denver Broncos · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:36 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 60.6 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Detroit O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Josh Reynolds's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this year, notching 11.73 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 9.30 figure last year.
The Broncos pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus wide receivers this year, surrendering 8.88 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 124.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
After averaging 53.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Reynolds has posted significant losses this year, now boasting 44.0 per game.

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