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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -150.
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Reynolds has accounted for a monstrous 22.6% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 77th percentile among WRs.
  • The Detroit Lions have gone for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 120.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Reynolds to be a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this week (7.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (12.6% in games he has played).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown strong efficiency against wideouts since the start of last season, conceding 7.47 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.

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