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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

While Josh Palmer has accounted for 12.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Los Angeles's pass game this week at 17.2%.

Josh Palmer's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 62.8% to 77.0%.

The Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (74.3%) versus wideouts this year (74.3%).

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Arizona's group of LBs has been terrible this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see just 124.0 total plays run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

The Chargers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Cardinals, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all pass game stats across the board.

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