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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Palmer has run a route on 85.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Josh Palmer's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 62.8% to 72.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • The Broncos safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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