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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Palmer has run a route on 85.5% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Josh Palmer has earned a monstrous 23.5% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wideouts.

Josh Palmer's sure-handedness have improved this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 62.8% to 72.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 52.1% of their downs: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Broncos defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 114.0) to WRs this year.

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