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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 9th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a monstrous 59.9 per game on average).

Josh Palmer has run a route on 86.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Josh Palmer has been responsible for a whopping 25.1% of his offense's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.

Josh Palmer is positioned as one of the top WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an impressive 5.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 75th percentile.

The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 5 points.

The predictive model expects the Chargers as the 5th-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 52.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.8 per game) since the start of last season.

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