Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-104/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 41.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 137.4 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
Josh Jacobs has been given 58.7% of his team's rushing play calls last year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has averaged 58.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (91st percentile).
This year, the formidable Detroit Lions run defense has yielded a puny 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing teams: the 27th-lowest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -4-point underdog in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Packers as the least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 32.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Detroit's DT corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 10th-best in the NFL.

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