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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 4 points.

The model projects the Packers to be the 10th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect Josh Jacobs to total 14.0 carries this week, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Josh Jacobs has generated 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest figures in football among running backs (88th percentile).

Since the start of last season, the anemic Indianapolis Colts run defense has conceded a staggering 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to use backup QB Malik Willis.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Green Bay Packers since the start of last season (a mere 56.7 per game on average).

While Josh Jacobs has been responsible for 81.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Green Bay's run game this week at 50.5%.

With a very bad record of 3.48 adjusted yards per carry (15th percentile) last year, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the bottom running backs in the league at the position.

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