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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

With a 44.3% rate of running the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 4th-most run-centric offense in the league has been the Green Bay Packers.

In this game, Josh Jacobs is projected by the projections to slot into the 90th percentile among RBs with 18.9 carries.

Josh Jacobs has run for many more adjusted yards per game (83.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).

Josh Jacobs's rushing effectiveness has improved this season, accumulating 4.71 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.49 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Josh Jacobs has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this year (62.1% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (81.5%).

The opposing side have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 107.0 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

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