Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 1, 2024

Updated Sep 6, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 15.7 carries.
Josh Jacobs has averaged 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to running backs (90th percentile).

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Packers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Green Bay Packers last year (a measly 56.8 per game on average).
While Josh Jacobs has accounted for 81.5% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Green Bay's running game in this contest at 64.9%.
Josh Jacobs's rushing effectiveness (3.48 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league last year (15th percentile when it comes to running backs).

More Josh Jacobs Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow