Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 83.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 88.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 83.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 4-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 18.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been a more integral piece of his offense's run game this year (85.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (67.7%).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for rushers.
Josh Jacobs has rushed for a lot more yards per game (94.0) this season than he did last season (56.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.1% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering just 4.19 yards-per-carry.
The Indianapolis Colts linebackers profile as the best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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