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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Las Vegas Raiders
Rushing Yards
Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022 Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 48.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 12.0 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has averaged 56.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (88th percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-most yards in the NFL (143 per game) versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season.
Favors Under
  • The Raiders are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his team's running game this week (50.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (67.7% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the 8th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.
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