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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

Josh Jacobs Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Josh Jacobs has received 63.9% of his offense's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs has rushed for 0.53 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (92nd percentile).

The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 4th-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Raiders have been the 4th-least run-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 15.7% red zone run rate.

Opposing squads have run for the 4th-least touchdowns in the NFL (0.61 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 40.7% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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