Josh Jacobs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is suggested by the Packers being a -4-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers as the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 67.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see 137.4 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 45.4 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in the NFL.

Favors Under

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Packers grades out as the worst in the league this year.
Since the start of last season, the strong Detroit Lions defense has conceded a measly 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-best rate in the league.
The Lions defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-best group of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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