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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Green Bay Packers
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 12, 2024 Updated Nov 25, 2024 1:06 AM EST
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Receptions

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -100.

Favors Over
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to total 3.6 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Packers ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Josh Jacobs's 85.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 69.0% mark.
  • This year, the weak 49ers pass defense has given up a staggering 89.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 5th-highest rate in the league.
Favors Under
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The Packers rank as the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 55.7% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Packers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Josh Jacobs's 13.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 20.5.
  • The 49ers linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.
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