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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Lions defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.

The model projects Josh Jacobs to garner 4.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the model to run just 60.7 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Las Vegas Raiders have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

Josh Jacobs's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 86.3% to 72.0%.

The Detroit Lions pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.7%) vs. RBs this year (69.7%).

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