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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to accrue 4.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Josh Jacobs has been among the leading pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 8th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in football.
  • Josh Jacobs's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 86.3% to 74.5%.

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