Josh Jacobs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 4.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 94th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been a big part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 11.5% since the start of last season, which places him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Josh Jacobs has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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